Reflecting COVID-19 in company accounting for pensions
At a glance
COVID-19 is having a large impact on life expectancy and some auditors are expecting employers to consider COVID-19 in accounting mortality assumptions and pensions liabilities
As this will not be reflected in standard mortality tables, employers need to make their own explicit allowance for the pandemic
This needs to include both the disease and the longer term economic and health impact of the pandemic, such as the impact on the economy, healthcare system and reduced diagnoses for other illness
Our analysis shows that full allowance for COVID-19 reduces total member liabilities by around 1.5% to 3.5%, over half of which is due to the consequential long term impact of COVID-19
For a scheme that is 90% funded, this means a 15-35% reduction in the accounting deficit on the balance sheet, and a knock on improvement in earnings next year
Impact on balance sheet and P&L
Typical impact on member liabilities
Actions employers can take
- Analyse the impact COVID-19 has on your scheme and review your mortality assumptions.
- Engage with your auditors early to understand their views.
- Use the same member analytics to review the impact on other demographic assumptions, such as proportion of members married.
Companies reporting at 30 September 2020 are likely to have increased defined benefit obligations on their balance sheets due to a fall in corporate bond yields over the year, although the impact will be offset slightly by a fall in inflation expectations. The resulting net balance sheet positions will depend heavily on investment strategy, with schemes that have a high degree of interest rate and inflation protection being most likely to have a similar balance sheet position to last year. However, schemes with greater exposure to UK equity and property are likely to have fared significantly worse due to poor returns over the year from these asset classes.
Assessing COVID-19 risk
Any change to mortality assumptions will need to be supported by robust analysis to meet audit scrutiny. We have built a detailed, proprietary model that assesses both the impact of the disease and its longer term consequences on the scheme population. This includes analysing the following factors for scheme members.
For further information, please get in touch with Vicky Mullins or speak to your usual XPS Pensions contact.